Carlos Sainz Jr.

Formula 1 News: Driver Lineup predicted for 2025 F1 Silly Season (2nd Update)

The table below has been updated to reflect the fact that Fernando Alonso has re-signed to drive for Aston Martin for two additional years.

We predict the next big shoe to drop will be Carlos Sainz Jr. signing with Mercedes to replace Hamilton.


April 11, 2024 

The table below has been updated to reflect the fact that the Aston Martin team is expected to retain both Fernando Alonso and Lance Stroll.


April 10, 2024 

There has been a lot of speculation in the F1 paddock and using our crystal ball and some common sense, we take a first crack at predicting the driver lineup for the 2025 F1 Silly Season

–by Mark Cipolloni–

Last Updated April 11, 2024

2025 F1 Silly Season Page
Team Engine No. Driver Nat. Rating Comments
Audi Sauber Ferrari 27 Nico Hulkenberg Germany Strong German team, German Driver
77 Valtteri Bottas Finland Strong Expected back
Alpine F1 Team Renault 31 Esteban Ocon France Strong Expected back
61 Jack Doohan Australia Speculation Waiting in the wings
Aston Martin Cognizant F1 Team Mercedes 14 Fernando Alonso Spain Fact Signed thru 2026
18 Lance Stroll Canada Fact Daddy owns the team
Ferrari Ferrari 16 Charles Leclerc Monaco Fact Signed thru 2028
44 Lewis Hamilton England Fact Signed thru 2026
Moneygram Haas F1 Team Ferrari 10 Pierre Gasly France Speculation Could replace Kevin Magnussen
38 Oliver Bearman England Strong Expected to replace Hulkenberg
McLaren F1 Team Mercedes 4 Lando Norris England Fact Signed
81 Oscar Piastri Australia Fact Signed
Mercedes-AMG Petronas F1 Team Mercedes 55 Carlos Sainz Jr. Spain Strong Will replace Hamilton
63 George Russell England Fact Signed thru 2025
Red Bull Racing Honda 1 Max Verstappen Netherlands Fact Signed thru 2028
11 Sergio Perez Mexico Strong Expected back given recent performance
Visa Cash App RB Honda 22 Yuki Tsunoda Japan Strong Expected back
40 Liam Lawson Australia Strong Expected to replace struggling Ricciardo
Williams Racing Mercedes 23 Alex Albon Thailand Fact Signed
TBD Kimi Antonelli Italy Strong Expected to Replace Sargeant

 

Here is a list of F1 driver contract expiration dates that are known publicly.

Driver  Contract Expiration Base Annual Salary Total 2024 Salary w/Bonuses
Red Bull
Max Verstappen through 2028  $45 million  $70 million
Sergio Perez through 2024  $10 million  $10 million
Ferrari
Charles Leclerc through 2024  $14 million  $19 million
Lewis Hamilton through 2026  $55million  $55 million
Carlos Sainz through 2024  $8 million  $14 million
Mercedes
George Russell through 2026  $4 million  $4 million
Alpine
Pierre Gasly through 2024  $5 million  $8 million
Esteban Ocon through 2024  $6 million  $6 million
McLaren
Lando Norris through 2027  $10 million  $15 million
Oscar Piastri through 2026  $5 million  $5 million
Aston Martin
Fernando Alonso through 2026  $24 million  $34 million
Lance Stroll through Ongoing  $2 million  $2 million
Alfa Romeo
Valtteri Bottas through 2024  $10 million  $10 million
Zhou Guanyu through 2024  $2 million  $2 million
AlphaTauri
Daniel Ricciardo through 2024  $2 million $2 million
Yuki Tsunoda through 2024  $1 million  $1 million
Haas
Nico Hulkenberg through 2024  $2 million  $2 million
Kevin Magnussen through 2024  $5 million  $5 million
Williams
Alex Albon through 2024  $3 million  $3 million
Logan Sargeant through 2024  $1 million  $1million