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How Scott Dixon can lockup IndyCar title today

Posted by AR1 staff

DRIVERS/ENTRANT  CHAMPIONSHIP

  • There are a maximum of 108 points possible for the final two NTT INDYCAR SERIES races.
  • Scott Dixon needs 58 points in the final two races to eliminate Josef Newgarden (finishes of 5th or better in the final two races).
  • Colton Herta, Pato O’Ward, Will Power, Graham Rahal and Takuma Sato were eliminated in Race 1 on Friday.

MATHEMATICAL CLINCH SCENARIOS:

  • Scott Dixon will clinch after Race 2 of the INDYCAR Harvest GP with a win and a Josef Newgarden finish of third or worse (second based on Dixon scoring additional bonus points). In this scenario, Dixon could skip the final race of the season, scoring 0 points at Petersburg.

RACE 2 CLINCH SCENARIOS (Minimum points):

Dixon can clinch in Race 2 and only need to start the final race, scoring minimum of 6 points at Pete. His clinch scenarios are:

    • Dixon P1 – Will clinch the NTT INDYCAR SERIES championship unless Newgarden finishes second and scores all four bonus points (start on front row, lead a lap, lead the most laps).
    • Dixon P2 – Will clinch if Newgarden P4 or worse
    • Dixon P3 – Will clinch if Newgarden P7 or worse
    • Dixon P4 – Will clinch if Newgarden P8 or worse
    • Dixon P5 – Will clinch if Newgarden P9 or worse
    • Dixon P6 – Will clinch if Newgarden P10 or worse
    • Dixon P7 – Will clinch if Newgarden P12 or worse
    • Dixon P8 – Will clinch if Newgarden P14 or worse
    • Dixon P9 – Will clinch if Newgarden P16 or worse
    • Dixon P10 – Will clinch if Newgarden P18 or worse
    • Dixon P11 – Will clinch if Newgarden P19 or worse
    • Dixon P12 – Will clinch if Newgarden P20 or worse
    • Dixon P13 – Will clinch if Newgarden P21 or worse
    • Dixon P14 – Will clinch if Newgarden P22 or worse
    • Dixon P15 – Will clinch if Newgarden P23 or worse
    • Dixon P16 – Will clinch if Newgarden P24 or worse
    • Dixon P17 – Will clinch if Newgarden P25 or worse

Unless noted, this does account for any bonus points earned in qualifying, or by leading laps

ROOKIE OF THE YEAR

MATHEMATICAL CLINCH SCENARIOS:

Rinus VeeKay leads by 63 points and will clinch Rookie of the Year if he finishes ahead of Alex Palou in Race If Palou does not outscore VeeKay by 9 points on Saturday, he won’t be able to catch VeeKay mathematically and needs 15 points or more to ensure VeeKay can’t clinch by starting St. Pete.

MANUFACTURER POINTS

Honda leads by 67 points and would need to gain 192 points total in the final two races to clinch outright regardless of what Chevy does. (There are 96 points maximum in a race).

CLINCH SCENARIOS:

  • 13 Hondas, 12 Chevrolets at Harvest GP (11 Chevys are expected at Pete).
  • Max points are 96, min points at Pete would be 34 for Honda (12th + 13th Place), meaning Honda would need a 62 point lead after Saturday to clinch (its current lead is 68 points).