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2018 Point Standings
After Mid-Ohio
Rank Driver Points

1 Scott Dixon 494
2 Alexander Rossi 448
3 Josef Newgarden 434
4 Will Power 407
5 Ryan Hunter-Reay 399
6 Robert Wickens 380
7 Simon Pagenaud 344
8 Graham Rahal 335
9 James Hinchcliffe 328
10 Sebastien Bourdais 293
11 Marco Andretti 285
12 Takuma Sato 258
13 Ed Jones 255
14 Spencer Pigot 239
15 Tony Kanaan 227
16 Charlie Kimball 212
17 Zach Veach 211
18 Matheus Leist 182
19 Max Chilton 162
20 Gabby Chaves 158
21 Ed Carpenter 148
22 Jordan King 126
23 Zachary De Melo 122
24 Jack Harvey 63
25 Rene Binder 61
26 Carlos Munoz 53
27 Kyle Kaiser 45
28 Conor Daly 43
29 Helio Castroneves 40
30 JR Hildebrand 38
31 Stefan Wilson 31
32 Oriol Servia 27
33 Santino Ferrucci 18
34 Pietro Fittipaldi 14
35 Danica Patrick 13
36 Jay Howard 12
37 Alfonso Celis Jr 10
38 Sage Karam 10
39 James Davison 10

Rookie of Year Standings
1. Robert Wickens 380
2. Zach Veach 211
3. Matheus Leist 182
4. Jordan King 126
5. Zachary De Melo 122
6. Jack Harvey 63
7. Rene Binder 61
8. Kyle Kaiser 45
9. Stefan Wilson 31
10. Santino Ferrucci 18
11. Pietro Fittipaldi 14
12. Alfonso Celis Jr. 10

Manufacturer Standings
1. Honda 667
2. Chevy 564

Honda Indy 200 at Mid-Ohio Odds - Sunday

by Brian Carroccio
Sunday, July 29, 2018

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Alexander Rossi will be tough to beat from pole today 

If you read yesterday, you’ll remember I gave you a little wagering advice. I told you to lay off Sebastian Bourdais at 10/1. He’s now 35/1. I told you to get Ryan Hunter-Reay at 10/1. He’s now 5/1. I told you that Takuma Sato offered great value at 40/1., and he’s gone down to 35/1. I also told you to grab Spencer Pigot at 100/1 before qualifying and despite a disappointing qualifying effort Pigot is now 35/1.

I did tell you to take Newgarden at 4/1, and his odds went up but only slightly as he sits now at 17/4. So all in all, we created a little value yesterday before qualifying.

And with qualifying in the rearview mirror, let’s follow up on yesterday’s article, and take a look at the updated odds for today’s Honda Indy 200 at Mid-Ohio.

The Elite 

Alexander Rossi+350
Josef Newgarden+425
Will Power+425
Ryan Hunter-Reay+500
Scott Dixon+625
Simon Pagenaud+800
It's been a tough weekend for Simon Pagenaud
It's been a tough weekend for Simon Pagenaud

To start, Pagenaud at 8/1 is a terrible price given his recent form and 17th starting spot. I recommended Newgarden yesterday at 4/1, and I still consider that a decent ticket to be holding, but I wouldn’t add to my position today at 17/4 today.

And although you’ll pay a pretty penny, the best value here in my opinion is Rossi at 7/2. He’s been very confident all weekend, and pole position here at Mid-Ohio, where it is so difficult to pass, means the No. 27 NAPA AUTO PARTS Honda is going to be tough to beat. Yes, Dixon at 25/4 is worth a dart at Mid-Ohio. But other than Hunter-Reay, who you should already be holding a ticket on at 10/1, I just haven’t seen enough consistency from anyone in this group to warrant the prices.

The Second Tier 

Robert Wickens+1000
Graham Rahal+1500
James Hinchcliffe+2500
Sebastien Bourdais+3500
Takuma Sato+3500
Max Chilton+3500

 

Could we some Dale Coyne/Sebastien Bourdais magic today?
Could we some Dale Coyne/Sebastien Bourdais magic today?

Getting a top-6 starter at 35/1 makes Chilton somewhat tempting, although I will not be going there. Wickens I think is a decent play at 10/1, but it’s not something that jumps off the page. Sato I think remains a good value at 35/1, but at this point I would probably just sit on the 40/1 ticket from yesterday.  

If I’m making a play in this group, I’m throwing a dart on talent and playing Bourdais at 35/1. Yes, he’s starting last, and yes I told you he was a lousy play yesterday. But today is a new day and Bourdais is paying more than three times the odds he was 24 hours ago. This, plus the fact you know Dale Coyne will have some strategy machination up his sleeve, I’m willing to play Bourdais at this price, and hope for a crazy race.

The Longshots 

Spencer Pigot+4400
Ed Jones+5500
Marco Andretti+5500
Conor Daly+5500
Tony Kanaan+6600
Pietro Fittipaldi+10000
Zach Veach+10000
Charlie Kimball+10000
Jordan King+10000
Matheus Leist+20000
Rene Binder+20000
Charlie Kimball won at Mid-Ohio in 2013. His odds to win today are 100/1
Charlie Kimball won at Mid-Ohio in 2013. His odds to win today are 100/1

I’d really like to make a case for one of the drivers above, and there’s always value for someone when they get to triple digits. If you put a gun to my head and absolutely forced me to play someone, I’d probably take the speed Andretti Autosport has shown this weekend and go with Veach at 100/1. Maybe, you could make an argument for Kimball at 100/1, given the form Carlin has shown and the fact he is a former winner.

But let me be absolutely clear: while I’m all for taking a calculated roll of the dice, when you take into account team, talent, starting position, experience, whatever, I would not play any of the drivers above.

Hope you enjoy today’s race.

Brian C.

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